updated December 2025

Are You at Risk in 2026? What’s Changed Since 2023 – and Why Most Retirees are Getting Caught Off Guard
By 2026, rising Medicare premiums, income-based surcharges, and slower benefit growth are reshaping how much retirees actually keep each month. While benefits still increase on paper, the net amount deposited into checking accounts frequently tells a different story.
Understanding how this evolved from 20023 through 2026 – and why so many people misunderstand the rules – is essential for anyone planning retirement income today.
In this recent episode of Dollars & Sense, Joel Garris and Rob Field unpack how Medicare premiums, income-based adjustments, and enrollment rules are affecting Social Security benefits today — and why these issues are becoming more impactful for retirees than they were just a few years ago.
How Medicare Premiums Reduce Social Security Payments
For most retirees, Medicare Part B premiums are deducted automatically from Social Security benefits. No invoice arrives in the mail. No monthly payment reminder appears. The reduction happens quietly before the deposit ever reaches your account.
That automatic process creates confusion. Many people assume Medicare operates independently, only realizing the connection once their Social Security payment comes in lower than expected. As discussed frequently on our podcast Dollars & Sense, both programs operate through the same federal system, which is why premiums come directly out of benefits.
The design simplifies administration but masks the real cost of healthcare inside what retirees view as guaranteed income.
In this earlier episode of Dollars & Sense, Joel Garris and Rob Field break down how Medicare premiums connect directly to Social Security, why retirees are often surprised by deductions, and where common misconceptions begin. While the numbers have changed since this conversation, the foundational concepts remain essential.
Medicare is Not Free – and Never Really Was
One of the most persistent myths surrounding Medicare is the idea that coverage becomes free at age sixty-five. That belief usually comes from Medicare Part A, which covers hospital care and does not require a monthly premium for people who paid Medicare payroll taxes for at least ten years.
Other parts of Medicare function very differently.
“One of the biggest misconceptions we run into is that Medicare is free. Part A might not have a premium, but once you start layering in Part B, prescription coverage, and supplements, the costs add up faster than most people expect.”
Part B covers doctors and outpatient services and includes a monthly premium. Part D addresses prescription drugs with additional costs. Supplemental policies and Medicare Advantage plans add further expenses. Dental, vision, and hearing coverage are often separate altogether.
As Rob Field explains in the podcast, traditional Medicare also follows an eighty-twenty cost-sharing structure. That arrangement frequently leads retirees to purchase additional coverage to limit exposure. When all layers are combined, monthly Medicare-related expenses can approach five hundred dollars per person.
For couples, healthcare costs alone can near four figures before factoring in deductibles or out-of-pocket spending.
How This Looked in 2023 – and Why Fewer People Panicked Then
Back in 2023, Medicare premiums were lower, cost-of-living adjustments were stronger, and many retirees felt the system remained manageable. Part B premiums sat under one hundred seventy dollars per month, and income-related surcharges affected a narrower segment of households.
Confusion still existed. People misunderstood enrollment deadlines, underestimated healthcare expenses, and assumed Medicare operated independently from Social Security. The financial impact, however, felt muted compared to what retirees experience today.
As premiums climbed year after year, that margin of comfort quietly disappeared. What once felt like a modest deduction now represents a meaningful reduction in monthly cash flow.
That gradual shift explains why Medicare felt manageable in earlier years and why it commands far more attention in 2026.
Medicare Part B Premiums: 2023 Through 2026
Premium increases have not occurred evenly. Instead, costs accelerated over a short window.
- 2023: $164.90 per month
- 2024: $174.70 per month
- 2025: $185.00 per month
- 2026: $202.90 per month
In just three years, monthly premiums rose by nearly forty dollars. Over twelve months, that change redirects hundreds of dollars away from Social Security benefits.
Social Security COLA vs. Medicare Costs
Social Security cost-of-living adjustments reflect broad inflation, not healthcare-specific price increases. Medicare expenses often rise faster.
For 2026, the Social Security Administration announced a 2.8% COLA, translating to roughly fifty to sixty dollars per month for the average retiree. Medicare Part B premiums increased by $17.90 per month during the same period.
After premiums are deducted, a meaningful portion of the COLA disappears immediately. What remains rarely feels like a raise.
The Hold Harmless Rule – Helpful, but Limited
Some retirees receive protection under the “hold harmless” provision, which prevents Medicare premiums from rising faster than Social Security benefits.
That safeguard only applies when:
- Part B premiums are deducted directly from Social Security
- The beneficiary is not subject to income-related adjustments
Anyone paying premiums directly or impacted by IRMAA does not receive this protection.
IRMAA: Why Higher Income Means Higher Medicare Premiums
Income-Related Monthly Adjustment Amounts, commonly referred to as IRMAA, increase Medicare premiums when income exceeds certain thresholds. These adjustments apply to both Part B and Part D.
“What throws people for a loop is that Medicare isn’t looking at what you make today. They’re looking at what you made two years ago, which is why retirees are often shocked by higher premiums right after they stop working.”
What frustrates retirees most is timing. Medicare looks back two years when determining premiums. For 2026, income from 2024 tax returns determines whether surcharges apply.
That timing catches many people by surprise. Someone who recently retired may see higher premiums even though current income dropped significantly. Roth conversions, required minimum distributions, capital gains, and one-time income events often trigger adjustments unintentionally.
Appealing IRMAA After Retirement
IRMAA often feels automatic, but it is not always final. Retirees who experience qualifying life events — including retirement — may appeal using Form SSA-44.
As discussed on Dollars & Sense, appeals have become more successful in recent years. Filing does not guarantee relief, yet the process is often worthwhile when income circumstances change meaningfully.
“We’ve actually seen more success lately with IRMAA appeals than we did several years ago. It doesn’t always work, but it’s absolutely worth filing when retirement changes your income picture.”
Medicare Enrollment Timing Adds Another Layer of Risk
Unlike Social Security, Medicare enrollment follows strict deadlines. Missing them can result in penalties that last for life.
“With Social Security, you can delay and there’s no penalty. Medicare doesn’t work that way. Miss a deadline and you could be paying more for the rest of your life.”
The initial enrollment period spans seven months, beginning three months before a sixty-fifth birthday. Delaying enrollment without qualifying coverage can permanently increase premiums.
That rigidity explains why Medicare planning deserves as much attention as Social Security claiming strategies.
Why This Matters More in 2026 Than It Did in 2023
Several years ago, premium increases felt manageable. Cost-of-living adjustments were larger. Income planning offered more flexibility. Healthcare inflation felt less aggressive.
By 2026, the environment looks very different. Medicare costs rise faster. IRMAA impacts a broader range of retirees. Required distributions push taxable income higher whether cash is needed or not.
Without coordinated planning, Medicare quietly consumes a growing share of retirement income.
Smart Retirement Planning Starts Before Medicare Begins
Effective planning now requires viewing Medicare, Social Security, taxes, and income as one system rather than separate decisions.
Thoughtful strategies may include:
- Coordinating Social Security timing with Medicare enrollment
- Managing taxable income years before age sixty-five
- Planning Roth conversions around IRMAA thresholds
- Reviewing Medicare costs annually rather than once
Nelson Financial Planning helps clients connect these moving parts so surprises become informed decisions rather than frustrations.
Frequently Asked Questions
Does Medicare actually reduce Social Security benefits?
Technically, benefits are not reduced. Medicare premiums are deducted from Social Security payments, which lowers the net amount received each month.
Why do Medicare premiums keep rising faster than Social Security?
Medicare costs track healthcare inflation, while Social Security COLAs reflect broader economic inflation. Those measures often move at different speeds.
What is IRMAA and who does it affect?
IRMAA is an income-based surcharge applied to higher-earning retirees. It impacts Part B and Part D premiums and is based on income from two years prior.
Can IRMAA be appealed?
Yes. Qualifying life events such as retirement may allow an appeal using Form SSA-44. Outcomes vary, but success rates have improved.
Is Medicare enrollment optional at age sixty-five?
Enrollment rules depend on employment status and coverage. Missing deadlines without qualifying coverage can result in lifelong penalties.
Final Thought
Social Security benefits are still increasing. Medicare premiums, however, are rising faster — and that difference matters far more in 2026 than it did just a few years ago.
Understanding how the rules changed from 2023 through today allows retirees to plan with clarity rather than react with frustration. When Medicare and Social Security are coordinated intentionally, retirement income becomes more predictable and far less stressful.
Schedule your complimentary consultation with one of our financial planners today!
Your retirement deserves more than guesswork. It deserves a strategy.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Joel J. Garris, JD, CFP®, is the President and CEO of Nelson Financial Planning and the voice behind the Dollars & Sense podcast. A seasoned financial advisor with over 20 years of experience, Joel helps everyday investors make sense of complex markets with clarity and confidence. When he’s not simplifying retirement strategies or decoding economic trends, he’s probably on air delivering straight-talk financial advice – no fluff, just facts.
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